Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Minor Flood Warning For The Balonne River
Issued at 10:46 AM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 2
MINOR FLOODING PEAKED AT SURAT SUNDAY NIGHT, EASING INTO TUESDAY
A minor flood peak along the Balonne River has passed through Surat on Sunday night, following rainfall in the lower reaches of the Condamine River early last week. This flood peak will continue to move downstream over the next week or two but at this stage is not expected to reach minor flood levels at any forecast locations downstream of Surat.
No significant rainfall has been observed for nearly a week and no significant rainfall is forecast for the next few days.
Balonne River to Surat:
Minor flooding is expected to be occurring along the Balonne River at Surat.
There are no recent observations for the Balonne River at Surat (manual gauge). However, based on the nearby automatic gauge, the river is expected to have peaked around 5.30 metres late Sunday night and is expected to be above the minor flood level (5.00 metres) and easing.
The Balonne River at Surat may fall below the minor flood level (5.00 m) during Tuesday.
Balonne River downstream of Surat to Beardmore Dam:
Elevated river levels are expected along the Balonne River downstream of Surat to Beardmore Dam. Minor flooding is rising slowly at Weribone and approaching a peak over the next day or so.
The Balonne River at Warroo is currently at 6.11 metres and rising very slowly, well below the minor flood level.
A peak well below the minor flood level (9.00 m) is expected in the Balonne River at Warroo around Wednesday.
Balonne River at Warkon:
Cancellation
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Tuesday 30 April 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Balonne R at Weribone TM,6.20,Rising,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Warroo TM,6.11,Rising,09:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Maranoa R at Forest Vale TM,0.17,Falling,10:20 AM MON 29/04/24
Maranoa R at Old Cashmere TM,1.50,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Beardmore Dam TM,0.02,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Jack Taylor Weir TM,-0.03,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Culgoa R at Whyenbah TM,2.48,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Culgoa R at Woolerbilla TM,2.40,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Narran R at Dirranbandi-Hebel Rd TM,2.17,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Bokhara R at Hebel TM,0.86,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Moranbah (22.0022°S, 148.0462°E, 230m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 29° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:03am EST 6:26am EST 5:45pm EST 6:08pm EST NOW28.0° Feels Like: 24.8° Relative Humidity: 44% Dew: 14.6° Wind: E 24km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1018.7hPa -
Today Weather
MoranbahNow28.3°cFeels Like:26.1°Wind:SE 13km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:34%16°Min29°MaxToday in MoranbahMostly sunny. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h turning E in the late morning. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.Tomorrow16°Min29°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the NE. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h turning E in the late morning. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
Forecast for Moranbah (22.0022°S, 148.0462°E, 230m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 16° 16° 17° 16° 16° 16° 14° Maximum 29° 29° 30° 29° 28° 29° 29° Chance of rain 10% 30% 5% 30% 20% 10% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 28
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)22
(km/h)26
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)21
(km/h)25
(km/h)19
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction SE ESE SE ESE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE Relative humidity 70% 38% 72% 45% 69% 42% 71% 45% 72% 43% 76% 42% 70% 35% Dew point 17°C 13°C 17°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 13°C 17°C 14°C 15°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Moranbah Rain Forecast
Moranbah 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025976777665668105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Moranbah Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Apr 2512.6 °C 31.4 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 2615.1 °C 30.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 2713.9 °C - 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 2819.1 °C 30.3 °C -Monday
Apr 2916.8 °C 29.3 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Moranbah minimum temp history (22.0022°S, 148.0462°E, 230m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.2° 02/04/2024 Coldest this month 10.3° 12/04/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 38.1° 29/01/2024 Coldest this year 10.3° 12/04/2024 Long term average 30.3° Long term average 16.9° Average this month 31.1° Average this month 16.9° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Moranbah rainfall history (22.0022°S, 148.0462°E, 230m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 3.0mm 07/04/2024 Total This Month 6.6mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 27.3mm 4.3 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 0.0mm 2017 -
Year to Date
Moranbah Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 296.4mm 30.9 day(s) Total For 2024 270.4mm 33.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 308.4mm 33.0 day(s) Wettest Day 53.6mm Jan 1 Lowest Temperature 10.3°C Apr12 Highest Temperature 38.1°C Jan29 -
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Climatology
Climate History
Moranbah Climatology
Moranbah Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 34.5 33.9 32.8 30.3 26.8 24.4 24.3 26.8 30.1 33.2 34.5 34.9 30.5 Mean Min (°C) 21.5 21.4 20.3 16.9 12.7 10.0 8.8 8.9 12.7 16.3 18.9 20.6 15.6 Mean Rain (mm) 103.1 89.2 76.8 27.3 32.8 16.8 38.7 12.2 14.4 22.8 66.3 64.3 549.5 Mean Rain Days 9.1 9.0 8.5 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.7 1.8 2.3 4.2 5.6 5.8 63.0