Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
This Flood Watch provides early advice of possible flooding within the specified catchments.
Flood Watch For Northern And Eastern Cape York Peninsula
Issued at 01:40 PM EST on Thursday 18 April 2024
Flood Watch Number: 3
FLOODING POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF EASTERN AND NORTHERN CAPE YORK PENINSULA FROM THURSDAY
A moist easterly flow may combine with a slow-moving trough to produce severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall in parts of the eastern and northern Peninsula over the next several days.
Catchments within the Flood Watch area remain relatively wet from recent rainfall and can respond to further rainfall quickly.
Daily rainfall totals of 100 mm to 150 mm are possible in areas north of Coen and along the east coast north of Cairns, particularly from Thursday, with the risk of heavy rainfall continuing through the weekend.
River level rises and riverine flooding are possible within the Flood Watch area from Thursday and across the weekend. Low level road crossings and causeways are likely to become inundated by this flooding, which may impact transport routes across Cape York Peninsula.
Catchments likely to be affected include:
Jardine River
Ducie, Jackson and Skardon Rivers
Wenlock River
Embley and Mission Rivers
Watson River
Archer and Coen Rivers
Mitchell River
Jacky Jacky Creek
Olive and Pascoe Rivers
Lockhart River
Stewart River
Normanby River
Jeannie River
Endeavour River
Daintree River
Mossman River
See www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings to view the current flood, weather and cyclone products for Queensland.
For more information on the Flood Watch Service: http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml
Flood Safety Advice:
For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.
For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts.
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219 at a low call cost of 27.5 cents, more from mobile, public and satellite phones.
Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood/
This Flood Watch means that people living or working along rivers and creeks should monitor the latest weather forecasts and warnings.
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it.}
Next issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 02:00 pm EST on Friday 19 April 2024.
Forecast
Mabuiag (10.6819°S, 142.1905°E, 140m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY25° 31° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:14am EST 6:35am EST 6:25pm EST 6:46pm EST NOW27.4° Feels Like: 31.6° Relative Humidity: 92% Dew: 26.0° Wind: E 15km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 15.8mm Pressure: 1006.6hPa -
Today Weather
MabuiagNow24.8°cFeels Like:30.7°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:96%25°Min31°MaxToday in MabuiagCloudy. Very high chance of showers N of Coen, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe on the E coast. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.Tomorrow25°Min31°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers N of Coen, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers N of Coen, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe on the E coast. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
Forecast for Mabuiag (10.6819°S, 142.1905°E, 140m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° Maximum 31° 31° 31° 31° 31° 32° 32° Chance of rain 60% 80% 60% 70% 70% 70% 70% Likely amount 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)15
(km/h)21
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)23
(km/h)21
(km/h)24
(km/h)25
(km/h)28
(km/h)Wind direction ENE ENE ENE ENE E E ESE E E ESE SE ESE SE SE Relative humidity 84% 85% 87% 86% 87% 85% 84% 83% 83% 82% 83% 80% 81% 78% Dew point 26°C 27°C 26°C 27°C 26°C 27°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 27°C 26°C 26°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mabuiag Rain Forecast
Mabuiag 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025987788887779105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Mabuiag Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 1425.3 °C 29.6 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1525.6 °C 31.0 °C 28.6 mmTuesday
Apr 1626.3 °C 29.9 °C 16.8 mmWednesday
Apr 1726.3 °C 31.5 °C 13.8 mmThursday
Apr 1825.6 °C 28.1 °C 41.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mabuiag minimum temp history (10.6819°S, 142.1905°E, 140m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.2° 08/04/2024 Coldest this month 25.1° 01/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.9 06/04/2003 Coldest on record 21.1 05/04/2012 Hottest this year 33.5° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year 23.9° 19/01/2024 Long term average 30.6° Long term average 25.3° Average this month 30.8° Average this month 26.0° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.5° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 24.5° 1997 Mabuiag rainfall history (10.6819°S, 142.1905°E, 140m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 41.0mm 18/04/2024 Total This Month 171.6mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 245.9mm 16.4 days Wettest April on record 726.2mm 1999 Driest on record 6.0mm 1997 -
Year to Date
Mabuiag Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 1458.1mm 81.4 day(s) Total For 2024 1860.6mm 86.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 1252.0mm 83.0 day(s) Wettest Day 154.0mm Jan23 Lowest Temperature 23.9°C Jan19 Highest Temperature 33.5°C Jan 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mabuiag Climatology
Mabuiag Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.9 30.6 30.5 30.6 30.1 29.5 29.1 29.3 30.3 31.1 32.1 32.1 30.5 Mean Min (°C) 25.2 25.2 25.1 25.3 24.9 24.1 23.4 23.2 24.0 24.8 25.8 25.9 24.7 Mean Rain (mm) 437.2 423.3 351.7 245.9 63.4 14.5 10.4 6.8 5.3 13.5 42.4 184.8 1783.8 Mean Rain Days 22.7 21.3 21.0 16.4 11.4 10.2 8.9 5.7 3.5 4.5 5.4 13.5 143.3