Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Minor Flood Warning For Bokhara River And Balonne River Minor
Issued at 10:23 AM EST on Thursday 18 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 19
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT HEBEL FROM THURSDAY NIGHT
No significant rainfall has been recorded in the Balonne and Bokhara River catchments in the 24 hours to 9:00 am Thursday. Showers and rainfall are possible over the next few days. The situation will continue to be monitored and warnings will be updated if required.
Balonne River downstream of Surat to Beardmore Dam:
Elevated river levels are easing along the Balonne River downstream of Surat to Beardmore Dam. Minor flooding is slowly easing at Weribone.
Lower Balonne and Bokhara Rivers, Balonne River Minor:
Minor flooding is easing along the Balonne River Minor at Whyenbah and may occur along the Bokhara River.
There are no current observations for the Balonne River Minor at Dirranbandi, however, it is likely that the river level is below the minor flood level (4.00 m) and falling.
The Balonne River Minor at Dirranbandi is likely to remain below the minor flood level (4.00 m).
The Bokhara River at Hebel is currently at 0.97 metres and rising slowly, below the minor flood level (1.00 m).
The Bokhara River at Hebel may exceed the minor flood level (1.00 m) overnight Thursday into Friday. River level rises are expected to continue over coming days as upstream floodwaters arrive, but likely to remain below the moderate flood level (1.50 m).
Balonne River at Surat:
Cancellation
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Friday 19 April 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Balonne R at Weribone TM,6.184,Steady,08:00 AM THU 18/04/24
Balonne R at Warroo TM,6.59,Falling,09:28 AM THU 18/04/24
Maranoa R at Old Cashmere TM,1.97,Steady,09:00 AM THU 18/04/24
Balonne R at Beardmore Dam TM,0.02,Steady,09:00 AM THU 18/04/24
Balonne R at Jack Taylor Weir TM,0.04,Steady,09:00 AM THU 18/04/24
Culgoa R at Whyenbah TM,4.90,Steady,09:00 AM THU 18/04/24
Culgoa R at Woolerbilla TM,4.23,Steady,09:00 AM THU 18/04/24
Narran R at Dirranbandi-Hebel Rd TM,4.32,Steady,09:00 AM THU 18/04/24
Bokhara R at Hebel TM,0.97,Steady,09:00 AM THU 18/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Federal (26.3936°S, 152.819°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 27° possible shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:42am EST 6:05am EST 5:29pm EST 5:52pm EST NOW22.7° Feels Like: 24.1° Relative Humidity: 91% Dew: 21.2° Wind: S 15km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm Pressure: 1015.0hPa -
Today Weather
FederalNow27.2°cFeels Like:30.1°Wind:SE 6km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:67%19°Min27°MaxToday in FederalPartly cloudy. The chance of fog inland early this morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning, possibly severe in the S and W, most likely about the S border ranges. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow17°Min28°MaxMostly sunny. The chance of fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog inland early this morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning, possibly severe in the S and W, most likely about the S border ranges. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Federal (26.3936°S, 152.819°E, 105m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 19° 17° 17° 17° 18° 19° 19° Maximum 27° 28° 25° 24° 24° 25° 26° Chance of rain 60% 60% 90% 90% 90% 70% 70% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 20-40mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index High High High High High High Very High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)7
(km/h)5
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)17
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)28
(km/h)28
(km/h)22
(km/h)20
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SE SW SE S S S SSE SSE SSE SE SSE S SSE Relative humidity 92% 83% 78% 69% 81% 83% 86% 85% 82% 77% 77% 73% 81% 73% Dew point 21°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 20°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Federal Rain Forecast
Federal 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025987766556768105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Federal Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 1416.5 °C 25.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1517.0 °C 26.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 1617.9 °C 27.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 1720.1 °C 26.9 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 1820.7 °C 26.5 °C 6.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Federal minimum temp history (26.3936°S, 152.819°E, 105m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.2° 03/04/2024 Coldest this month 14.8° 11/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.3 04/04/2006 Coldest on record 9.3 29/04/2008 Hottest this year 33.7° 27/01/2024 Coldest this year 14.8° 11/04/2024 Long term average 25.9° Long term average 18.1° Average this month 27.2° Average this month 19.1° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.6° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 16.1° 2008 Federal rainfall history (26.3936°S, 152.819°E, 105m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 35.4mm 07/04/2024 Total This Month 90.4mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 144.6mm 15.8 days Wettest April on record 342.2mm 2009 Driest on record 13.0mm 2006 -
Year to Date
Federal Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 768.1mm 65.3 day(s) Total For 2024 1303.0mm 76.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 194.4mm 43.0 day(s) Wettest Day 119.2mm Jan31 Lowest Temperature 14.8°C Apr11 Highest Temperature 33.7°C Jan27 -
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Federal Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.6 28.6 27.7 25.9 23.7 21.7 21.3 22.5 24.4 25.7 26.8 28.2 25.4 Mean Min (°C) 22.0 21.9 20.9 18.1 14.8 12.6 11.3 11.7 14.5 16.9 18.9 20.8 17.0 Mean Rain (mm) 171.5 236.4 215.6 144.6 160.2 117.9 73.0 73.5 58.6 116.3 90.6 142.4 1579.3 Mean Rain Days 15.2 16.4 17.9 15.8 14.1 13.5 11.7 8.8 9.5 11.0 10.8 13.8 157.1