Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
This Flood Watch provides early advice of possible flooding within the specified catchments.
Flood Watch For Northern And Eastern Cape York Peninsula
Issued at 12:45 PM EST on Saturday 20 April 2024
Flood Watch Number: 5
FLOODING POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF EASTERN AND NORTHERN CAPE YORK PENINSULA OVER THE WEEKEND, RAINFALL RISK EASING FROM SUNDAY
A moist easterly flow may combine with a slow-moving trough to produce localised moderate rainfall with thunderstorms in parts of the eastern and northern Peninsula for the remainder of Saturday, becoming less likely during Sunday.
Catchments within the Flood Watch area remain relatively wet from recent rainfall and can respond to further rainfall quickly.
Localised moderate daily rainfall totals are possible in areas north of Coen for the remainder of Saturday, with this risk expected to continue contracting northward during the remainder of the weekend.
River level rises and riverine flooding are possible within the Flood Watch during the remainder of weekend. Low level road crossings and causeways are likely to become inundated by this flooding, which may impact transport routes across Cape York Peninsula.
Catchments likely to be affected include:
Jardine River
Ducie, Jackson and Skardon Rivers
Wenlock River
Embley and Mission Rivers
Watson River
Archer and Coen Rivers
Mitchell River
Jacky Jacky Creek
Olive and Pascoe Rivers
Lockhart River
Stewart River
Normanby River
Jeannie River
Endeavour River
Daintree River
Mossman River
See www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings to view the current flood, weather and cyclone products for Queensland.
For more information on the Flood Watch Service: http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml
Flood Safety Advice:
For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.
For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts.
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219 at a low call cost of 27.5 cents, more from mobile, public and satellite phones.
Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood/
This Flood Watch means that people living or working along rivers and creeks should monitor the latest weather forecasts and warnings.
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it.}
Next issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 02:00 pm EST on Sunday 21 April 2024.
Forecast
Erub (9.588°S, 143.7707°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW25° 32° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:14am EST 6:35am EST 6:24pm EST 6:45pm EST NOW27.4° Feels Like: Relative Humidity: Dew: Wind: SE 9km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 5.0mm Pressure: 1010.5hPa -
Today Weather
ErubNow25.6°cFeels Like:30.7°Wind:SE 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:98%25°Min32°MaxToday in ErubPartly cloudy. High chance of showers N of Weipa, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s.Tomorrow25°Min32°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers N of Coen, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm N of Coen. Light winds becoming E/SE 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers N of Weipa, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s.
Forecast for Erub (9.588°S, 143.7707°E, 105m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° Maximum 32° 31° 31° 31° 32° 32° 32° Chance of rain 70% 60% 60% 60% 60% 70% 80% Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)16
(km/h)23
(km/h)25
(km/h)25
(km/h)27
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)26
(km/h)30
(km/h)29
(km/h)33
(km/h)32
(km/h)34
(km/h)Wind direction ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE ESE SE SE SE SE Relative humidity 85% 84% 85% 83% 83% 81% 83% 82% 83% 80% 80% 77% 79% 77% Dew point 27°C 27°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 26°C 27°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 26°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Erub Rain Forecast
Erub 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025987788887779105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Erub Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 1627.6 °C 31.5 °C 0.8 mmWednesday
Apr 1726.9 °C 32.6 °C 6.4 mmThursday
Apr 1825.6 °C 29.0 °C 27.6 mmFriday
Apr 1925.9 °C - 3.4 mmSaturday
Apr 2027.5 °C 31.5 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Erub minimum temp history (9.588°S, 143.7707°E, 105m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.0° 07/04/2024 Coldest this month 25.1° 11/04/2024 Hottest on record 36.6 12/04/2016 Coldest on record 20.0 29/04/2001 Hottest this year 35.8° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year 24.4° 23/01/2024 Long term average 32.1° Long term average 25.9° Average this month 32.1° Average this month 26.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.7° 2015 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 25.1° 2011 Erub rainfall history (9.588°S, 143.7707°E, 105m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 39.2mm 01/04/2024 Total This Month 148.6mm
14.0 daysLong Term Average 188.6mm 17.8 days Wettest April on record 546.4mm 2011 Driest on record 17.6mm 2015 -
Year to Date
Erub Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 1013.5mm 70.9 day(s) Total For 2024 709.0mm 59.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 608.6mm 56.0 day(s) Wettest Day 75.2mm Mar12 Lowest Temperature 24.4°C Jan23 Highest Temperature 35.8°C Jan 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Erub Climatology
Erub Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.9 31.6 31.7 32.1 31.5 30.6 30.2 30.6 31.4 32.5 33.5 33.2 31.7 Mean Min (°C) 26.0 25.9 25.8 25.9 25.5 24.8 24.0 23.7 24.2 24.8 25.6 26.1 25.2 Mean Rain (mm) 274.6 261.1 289.2 188.6 75.6 31.3 20.9 16.0 7.6 14.5 52.6 153.6 1382.7 Mean Rain Days 16.7 17.7 18.7 17.8 15.8 15.4 15.2 8.5 6.5 6.7 7.0 12.4 156.0