Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Final Flood Warning For The Dawson River
Issued at 10:27 AM EST on Tuesday 16 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 9
RIVER LEVELS HAVE EASED BELOW MINOR ALONG THE DAWSON RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF THEODORE
Floodwaters continue to slowly ease along the lower reaches of the Dawson River, where the flood peak is currently downstream of Baralaba in the Boolburra area.
There remains a chance of showers for the next few days, however no significant rainfall is forecast.
Dawson River downstream of Theodore:
No further flooding is expected in the Dawson River downstream of Theodore.
No current river level observations are available for Moura. However based on nearby observations the river level is estimated to be below the minor flood level (6.00 metres) and falling.
The Dawson River at Moura is expected to remain below the minor flood level (6.00 m) during the next few days.
No current river level observations are available for Baralaba. However based on the nearby observations the river level is estimated to be around 3.50 metres and falling, below the minor flood level (4.00 metres).
The Dawson River at Baralaba is expected to remain below the minor flood level (4.00 m) during the next few days.
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
This is a final warning, no further warnings will be issued for this event.
Latest River Heights:
Dawson R at Utopia Downs TM,1.78,Steady,12:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Tarana Crossing Alert,1.19,Steady,08:07 AM TUE 16/04/24
Juandah Ck at Windamere TM,0.69,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Taroom TM,1.47,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Gyranda Weir TM,0.21,Steady,10:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Theodore Weir TM,6.38,Steady,10:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Moura,Not Available,Not Available,Not Available
Dawson R at Moura Weir TM,0.40,Steady,10:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Mimosa Ck at Karamea Alert,1.41,Steady,08:53 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Baralaba,Not Available,Not Available,Not Available
Dawson R at Baralaba TW TM,3.26,Falling,09:48 AM TUE 16/04/24
Kroombit Ck at Kroombit Dam HW TM,-12.40,Steady,10:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Kroombit Creek at Biloela,0.00,Steady,07:45 AM TUE 16/04/24
Callide Creek at Jambin,0.00,Steady,09:41 AM TUE 16/04/24
Callide Ck at Goovigen TM,0.52,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Don R at Rannes TM,1.57,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Knebworth TM,4.49,Falling,09:23 AM TUE 16/04/24
Fitzroy R at Riverslea TM,13.41,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Port Alma Tide TM,2.12,Steady,09:59 AM TUE 16/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Carmila (21.9089°S, 149.4161°E, 16m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY20° 31° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:53am EST 6:16am EST 5:45pm EST 6:08pm EST NOW24.9° Feels Like: 30.2° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 24.9° Wind: S 6km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm Pressure: 1014.6hPa -
Today Weather
CarmilaNow24.4°cFeels Like:27.2°Wind:S 11km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:89%20°Min31°MaxToday in CarmilaPartly cloudy. The chance of fog in the S early this morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.Tomorrow21°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 32. -
Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the S early this morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
Forecast for Carmila (21.9089°S, 149.4161°E, 16m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 20° 21° 16° 17° 18° 18° 18° Maximum 31° 28° 26° 27° 29° 30° 30° Chance of rain 50% 70% 60% 50% 30% 40% 5% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 5
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)11
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction S ENE S S SSW SSW S SSE S SSE S SSE S SSE Relative humidity 98% 70% 97% 84% 92% 74% 93% 74% 91% 71% 92% 68% 87% 57% Dew point 25°C 24°C 24°C 23°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 23°C 22°C 20°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Carmila Rain Forecast
Carmila 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259778877566101105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Carmila Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 1416.0 °C 30.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1518.5 °C 29.8 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 1621.0 °C 29.8 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Apr 1719.9 °C 30.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 1819.6 °C 30.1 °C 0.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Carmila minimum temp history (21.9089°S, 149.4161°E, 16m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.4° 09/04/2024 Coldest this month 12.8° 11/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.2 03/04/2012 Coldest on record 8.4 22/04/2015 Hottest this year 35.7° 23/01/2024 Coldest this year 12.8° 11/04/2024 Long term average 29.4° Long term average 18.6° Average this month 29.8° Average this month 19.0° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.5° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 15.7° 2008 Carmila rainfall history (21.9089°S, 149.4161°E, 16m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 40.2mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 50.4mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 42.1mm 6.5 days Wettest April on record 133.2mm 2014 Driest on record 0.2mm 2008 -
Year to Date
Carmila Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 534.1mm 44.9 day(s) Total For 2024 337.8mm 54.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 503.4mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 58.2mm Feb 1 Lowest Temperature 12.8°C Apr11 Highest Temperature 35.7°C Jan23 -
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Climatology
Climate History
Carmila Climatology
Carmila Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.9 31.8 31.0 29.4 26.7 24.4 24.1 25.3 27.3 29.2 30.5 31.6 28.6 Mean Min (°C) 23.0 22.9 21.8 18.6 14.7 12.4 11.0 11.3 14.6 18.0 20.3 22.2 17.5 Mean Rain (mm) 183.9 169.5 138.6 42.1 37.7 35.1 48.6 24.0 21.6 39.8 66.4 116.7 926.5 Mean Rain Days 12.8 13.9 11.7 6.5 7.3 7.4 6.9 4.5 4.0 5.8 8.0 9.4 98.1