Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Final Flood Warning For The Dawson River
Issued at 10:27 AM EST on Tuesday 16 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 9
RIVER LEVELS HAVE EASED BELOW MINOR ALONG THE DAWSON RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF THEODORE
Floodwaters continue to slowly ease along the lower reaches of the Dawson River, where the flood peak is currently downstream of Baralaba in the Boolburra area.
There remains a chance of showers for the next few days, however no significant rainfall is forecast.
Dawson River downstream of Theodore:
No further flooding is expected in the Dawson River downstream of Theodore.
No current river level observations are available for Moura. However based on nearby observations the river level is estimated to be below the minor flood level (6.00 metres) and falling.
The Dawson River at Moura is expected to remain below the minor flood level (6.00 m) during the next few days.
No current river level observations are available for Baralaba. However based on the nearby observations the river level is estimated to be around 3.50 metres and falling, below the minor flood level (4.00 metres).
The Dawson River at Baralaba is expected to remain below the minor flood level (4.00 m) during the next few days.
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
This is a final warning, no further warnings will be issued for this event.
Latest River Heights:
Dawson R at Utopia Downs TM,1.78,Steady,12:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Tarana Crossing Alert,1.19,Steady,08:07 AM TUE 16/04/24
Juandah Ck at Windamere TM,0.69,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Taroom TM,1.47,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Gyranda Weir TM,0.21,Steady,10:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Theodore Weir TM,6.38,Steady,10:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Moura,Not Available,Not Available,Not Available
Dawson R at Moura Weir TM,0.40,Steady,10:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Mimosa Ck at Karamea Alert,1.41,Steady,08:53 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Baralaba,Not Available,Not Available,Not Available
Dawson R at Baralaba TW TM,3.26,Falling,09:48 AM TUE 16/04/24
Kroombit Ck at Kroombit Dam HW TM,-12.40,Steady,10:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Kroombit Creek at Biloela,0.00,Steady,07:45 AM TUE 16/04/24
Callide Creek at Jambin,0.00,Steady,09:41 AM TUE 16/04/24
Callide Ck at Goovigen TM,0.52,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Don R at Rannes TM,1.57,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Dawson R at Knebworth TM,4.49,Falling,09:23 AM TUE 16/04/24
Fitzroy R at Riverslea TM,13.41,Steady,09:00 AM TUE 16/04/24
Port Alma Tide TM,2.12,Steady,09:59 AM TUE 16/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Bucasia (21.0438°S, 149.1575°E, 9m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY21° 29° possible shower Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:54am EST 6:16am EST 5:48pm EST 6:10pm EST NOW22.2° Feels Like: 25.2° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 22.2° Wind: SW 9km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm Pressure: 1012.1hPa -
Today Weather
BucasiaNow21.4°cFeels Like:25.5°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:97%21°Min29°MaxToday in BucasiaPartly cloudy. The chance of fog in the S in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.Tomorrow21°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 32. -
Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the S in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
Forecast for Bucasia (21.0438°S, 149.1575°E, 9m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 21° 21° 18° 18° 19° 20° 18° Maximum 29° 28° 27° 27° 27° 28° 28° Chance of rain 70% 60% 30% 40% 60% 20% 70% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)11
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)18
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)11
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SE SSE SSE SSW S SSW SE SSW SSE S ESE S SE Relative humidity 85% 76% 83% 76% 74% 61% 76% 64% 75% 67% 74% 66% 70% 61% Dew point 23°C 23°C 22°C 23°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 19°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bucasia Rain Forecast
Bucasia 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259778877566101105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Bucasia Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 1422.3 °C 27.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1523.4 °C - 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 1622.4 °C 27.9 °C -Wednesday
Apr 1723.4 °C 28.1 °C 1.0 mmThursday
Apr 1821.8 °C 27.3 °C 0.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bucasia minimum temp history (21.0438°S, 149.1575°E, 9m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.1° 04/04/2024 Coldest this month 15.3° 11/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.8 02/04/1988 Coldest on record 11.2 29/04/2017 Hottest this year 36.6° 29/01/2024 Coldest this year 15.3° 11/04/2024 Long term average 26.8° Long term average 20.3° Average this month 28.1° Average this month 21.7° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.2° 1996 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 18.2° 2008 Bucasia rainfall history (21.0438°S, 149.1575°E, 9m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 14.6mm 07/04/2024 Total This Month 41.6mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 147.8mm 15.9 days Wettest April on record 521.4mm 1989 Driest on record 9.2mm 1974 -
Year to Date
Bucasia Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 1010.2mm 64.7 day(s) Total For 2024 746.8mm 71.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 943.2mm 55.0 day(s) Wettest Day 116.8mm Feb 1 Lowest Temperature 15.3°C Apr11 Highest Temperature 36.6°C Jan29 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Bucasia Climatology
Bucasia Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.2 29.8 28.8 26.8 24.3 22.0 21.4 22.7 25.4 27.8 29.4 30.3 26.6 Mean Min (°C) 23.6 23.5 22.4 20.3 17.2 14.3 13.2 14.1 16.8 19.8 21.8 23.1 19.1 Mean Rain (mm) 277.8 308.6 276.0 147.8 104.3 59.7 43.1 30.1 19.6 34.7 89.5 184.1 1572.7 Mean Rain Days 15.2 16.7 16.9 15.9 13.6 10.5 10.1 8.2 5.9 6.7 9.0 12.0 140.7