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Forecast

Shoal Bay (32.7241°S, 152.175°E, 12m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Rain 17° 19°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EST 6:17am EST 5:23pm EST 5:49pm EST
    NOW
    17.0° Feels Like: 14.5°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 14.5°
    Wind: SW 20km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure: 1020.8hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Shoal Bay
    Now
    18.4°c
    Feels Like:
    14.4°
    Wind:
    SW 28km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    78%
    Rain
     
    17°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Shoal Bay
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain about the Lower Hunter, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    17°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 23.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain about the Lower Hunter, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.

    Forecast for Shoal Bay (32.7241°S, 152.175°E, 12m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Rain Clearing shower Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Showers
    Minimum 17° 18° 19° 16° 17° 18° 17°
    Maximum 19° 21° 21° 22° 22° 20° 18°
    Chance of rain 80% 40% 50% 5% 40% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Moderate High High Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
    Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW S SSE SSE ESE ESE NNW ENE WNW SSE W SW SW SSW
    Relative humidity 89% 78% 70% 67% 74% 67% 80% 65% 75% 64% 71% 61% 73% 66%
    Dew point 16°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 12°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Shoal Bay Rain Forecast

    Shoal Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    2024
    2025
    9
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    8
    9
    4
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Apr 16

    ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

  13. Past 5 Days

    Shoal Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Apr 14     		- -
    -
    Monday
    Apr 15     		- -
    -
    Tuesday
    Apr 16     		- -
    -
    Wednesday
    Apr 17     		- -
    -
    Thursday
    Apr 18     		- -
    -
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Shoal Bay minimum temp history (32.7241°S, 152.175°E, 12m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.4° 26/11/2023 Coldest this month 21.0° 01/12/2023
    Hottest on record 30.5 12/04/2006 Coldest on record 9.0 27/04/1972
    Hottest this year 33.9° 01/10/2023 Coldest this year 5.9° 30/05/2023
    Long term average 23.5° Long term average 16.4°
    Average this month 24.7° Average this month 21.0°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.6° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 13.7° 1972
    Shoal Bay rainfall history (32.7241°S, 152.175°E, 12m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2023 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 124.5mm 11.6 days Wettest April on record 476.1mm 2015
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1898

  15. Year to Date

    Shoal Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 336.5mm 32.7 day(s)
    Total For 2024 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 212.2mm 32.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.4mm May27
    Lowest Temperature 5.9°C May30
    Highest Temperature 33.9°C Oct 1

  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Shoal Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.1 26.9 25.8 23.5 20.5 18.0 17.7 18.9 21.2 23.1 24.4 25.8 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 20.0 18.9 16.4 13.4 11.2 10.0 10.8 13.0 15.2 16.8 18.4 15.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 98.8 113.2 124.5 129.5 150.2 157.7 137.5 101.1 89.0 78.4 79.7 91.6 1330.4
    Mean Rain Days 10.6 10.5 11.6 12.0 12.8 12.4 11.8 10.6 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.5 132.3

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