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Forecast

Carey Bay (33.0271°S, 151.6058°E, 26m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 15° 19°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:58am EST 6:24am EST 5:19pm EST 5:44pm EST
    NOW
    9.5° Feels Like: 9.4°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 9.4°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.0hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Carey Bay
    Now
    15.5°c
    Feels Like:
    12.6°
    Wind:
    W 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    68%
    Mostly sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Carey Bay
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Showers easing
    15°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, most likely in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.

    Forecast for Carey Bay (33.0271°S, 151.6058°E, 26m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Showers easing Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Heavy showers Showers Heavy showers
    Minimum 15° 15° 15° 15° 17° 16° 14°
    Maximum 19° 19° 21° 23° 18° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 60% 70% 5% 80% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 20-40mm 10-20mm 20-40mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
    Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSW SW S WNW ENE N NNE SW SSW SW SW WSW SW
    Relative humidity 69% 60% 77% 70% 83% 68% 78% 57% 78% 77% 75% 65% 73% 64%
    Dew point 11°C 11°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 12°C 11°C 10°C 11°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Carey Bay Rain Forecast

    Carey Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    2024
    2025
    9
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    8
    9
    4
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Apr 23

    ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

  13. Past 5 Days

    Carey Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Apr 21     		14.9 °C 22.3 °C
    53.4 mm
    Monday
    Apr 22     		12.5 °C 24.1 °C
    32.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Apr 23     		10.1 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 24     		11.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 25     		14.8 °C 21.8 °C
    -
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Carey Bay minimum temp history (33.0271°S, 151.6058°E, 26m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.2° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 9.1° 11/04/2024
    Hottest on record Coldest on record
    Hottest this year 40.9° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 9.1° 11/04/2024
    Long term average 24.3° Long term average 12.0°
    Average this month 24.6° Average this month 12.6°
    Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - -
    Carey Bay rainfall history (33.0271°S, 151.6058°E, 26m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 135.4mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 269.6mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 88.9mm 14.3 days Wettest - on record - -
    Driest on record 15.6mm 2016

  15. Year to Date

    Carey Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 494.3mm 55.5 day(s)
    Total For 2024 441.8mm 45.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 424.4mm 57.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 135.4mm Apr 6
    Lowest Temperature 9.1°C Apr11
    Highest Temperature 40.9°C Jan26

  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Carey Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.7 28.0 26.8 24.3 21.3 18.5 18.6 19.9 22.7 24.3 25.9 27.4 23.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.9 17.4 16.0 12.0 7.8 6.6 5.0 5.1 8.0 11.0 14.0 16.0 11.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 109.6 138.4 157.4 88.9 47.5 94.5 71.7 48.7 59.7 89.8 103.6 88.2 1107.9
    Mean Rain Days 12.2 13.5 15.5 14.3 12.9 15.1 11.9 8.6 10.6 13.1 12.3 12.8 152.9

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